The Lessons of War
He
is one of the most decorated military men of the twentieth century,
having served with the SAS and commanded the UN Protection Force
in Bosnia. However, in his book Washingtons War,
General Sir Michael Rose raises profound questions
about the tactics and strategy used by coalition forces in Iraq.
He talked to Fergus Byrne about the lessons that should have been
learned over two hundred years ago.
In January 2006, General Sir Michael Rose, a retired British army
General who led United Nations forces in Bosnia, called for the
impeachment of the then Prime Minister, Mr Tony Blair, for taking
the country to war in Iraq on false grounds. Today, General Rose
feels just as strongly that Mr Blair should be brought to book
for his actions. In the same way that an employee of any company,
accused of misleading the public should be investigated, General
Rose feels that Tony Blair should be held to account for his part
in deceiving both his parliament and the British public and for
leading the country into a disastrous war. Since March 23rd 2003,
when two British soldiers from Poole in Dorset became Britains
first casualties of the war, tens of thousands of civilians, soldiers
and insurgents have died. Some estimates put the figure of civilians
dead at over half a million. Parts of Baghdad and other major
cities have been reduced to wasteland and millions of citizens
have been displaced by the fighting.
General Rose has written a book entitled Washingtons War:
from independence to Iraq, which compares the current war in Iraq
with the American War for Independence. It highlights key strategic
errors made by the coalition forces in Iraq and points to lessons
that should have been learned from the late 18th century American
battle for independence from Britain. The book was written after
General Rose had been employed to play a mentor role for US administration
officials in training. A striking figure with boyish good looks,
General Rose is animated and enthusiastic as he explains how the
book came about. The Americans have a very far-sighted programme
where they take some of the rising stars of the administration
away for a six-week course, part of which is to role-play different
situations. This is for people from all across the board, finance,
foreign affairs, defence, intelligence, the whole spectrum. When
I was there we would visit battlefields from the American War
for Independence and role-play various situations. One day I was
talking to another of the mentors, Eliot Cohen, who is a prominent
scholar of military affairs at the John Hopkins School of Advanced
International Studies, and I said I dont think were
talking about the American War for Independence here, I think
were talking about the war in Iraq and he said you
know that is exactly what I was thinking. So having thought
about this for about three or four years I decided to write the
book.
In June 1775 George Washington commanded a band of rebels who
were, in the eyes of the British, nothing more than a collection
of vagrants, deserters and thieves. Yet he led them
in a revolutionary war against the British which ended with American
independence. General Rose maintains that both the strategy and
the background to the creation of a rebel force in the American
colonies, has remarkable similarities to the current war in Iraq,
and although both British and American forces have successfully
used counter-insurgency tactics throughout the world since, the
lessons learned from that war were ignored when the coalition
invaded Iraq. There may be many reasons why these lessons were
not followed but General Rose feels that neither country is particularly
proud of the outcome of that war. The British are in denial
about the American War for Independence he says. We
dont really teach it because we lost our great colony and
made a complete mess of things. And the Americans are in a certain
amount of denial also. General Rose suggests that one set
of land grabbers simply replaced another. So in a way the
Americans like to sort of air-brush that out. They love their
founding fathers but they dont actually go into it.
In his book, General Rose makes telling observations on various
aspects of the post Iraq invasion. He points out how American
attempts to use conventional warfare, coupled with zero planning
for the aftermath of the initial battle, quickly lost them the
respect of the local population who had initially been so pleased
to see Saddam Hussein overthrown. As the war had been started
based on a need to find weapons of mass destruction, vital military
units were immediately deployed to find these weapons, instead
of working to secure the local population and protecting the countrys
infrastructure.
However General Rose points out that, unlike Tony Blair, George
Bush hadnt quite put all his eggs in one basket. George
Bush was more subtle than Tony Blair he says. Blair
pinned everything on weapons of mass destruction, where Bush had
a whole string of reasons to go to war; extending democracy, creating
a beacon of peace to shine throughout the Middle East, and also
fighting terror long distance rather than on his home soil. He
went for a much wider justification.
But the immediate aftermath of invasion was messy. As General
Rose points out in Washingtons War, General Jay Garner,
the first chief administrator in Iraq, still had not received
clear political instructions from Washington regarding the strategy
that was to be followed by the occupying forces, even as the invasion
had begun. As a result of this hesitation, distraction and general
inaction by the coalition administration, there followed a complete
breakdown of law and order in Iraq which led to the disintegration
of civil authority. General Rose points to this lack of security
as one of the reasons the local population sided with insurgency
groups and turned against the occupying troops. The same happened
during the American War for Independence when the British were
unable to protect the settlers in their American colonies. And
despite the diversity of the settler population at the time, they
came together to fight an occupying army and won. The British
army was left licking its wounds.
The question currently debated is whether the occupying force
in Iraq will also lose. General Rose suggests that the recent
change in tactic by the Americans, who he says have now spent
over a trillion dollars on this war, is reducing the casualties
and offering a way out. The Americans are beginning to realise
that their democratic dream is starting to visit upon them their
worst nightmare he says. The majority Shia are ruling
the country, but of course the Shia have the Iranians hand up
their backs. Therefore they have actually spent a trillion dollars,
had three thousand soldiers killed and trashed the country, bringing
about their worst case scenario the third biggest oil deposit
in the world is now controlled by Iran. And whats more the
Iranians are spreading their tentacles. The Americans have finally
realised this and have switched sides. They have now started supporting
the Sunni. Since which time the graph of attacks and casualties
has gone down. General Rose thinks this new tactic may bring
about a form of stability that could offer a way out to the Americans.
The current troop surge has had a marginal effect on this,
and General Petraeus, who is heading up the surge, is an expert
on this type of insurgency. He has realised youve got to
change direction. The Sunni are neither anti-American nor are
they anti-West. They never have been. Theyve always been
allies. The reason they became anti-American is that they had
been disempowered. Well the key is to re-empower them. And what
Petraeus is doing is, by training the Sunni and arming them and
putting the right people in the army, he is giving the Sunni some
hope of regaining power. General Rose also sees this as
a possible road to victory for the Americans. He suggests the
Americans will gradually decrease troop numbers and pull out,
declaring victory. Then after a decent interval there
will be a military coup. The Sunni will take over and run
the country which they have always run. he says. Then
the status quo will have returned and it will become stable again.
The country will never break up, it will never disintegrate. But
the Americans have now changed sides and are working with the
Sunni.
So after four years and countless thousands dead, the battle for
Iraq will have left much of the country a wasteland, and in the
end the ruling Sunni population will take over again.
In his recently published book Surrender Is Not an Option, American
hawk John Bolton, former US ambassador to the United Nations,
asks us to view regime change and the aftermath in Baghdad as
two quite separate items. General Rose is not convinced. He says,
But you cant have one without the other! Blair said
it was a noble thing to have gone for and we have left them
democracy. Had he got the whole package together he might
have been able to claim that but theyve trashed the country.
Its appalling what theyve done to that country!
He recalls a time when he was in the Baghdad Green Zone with an
Iraqi bodyguard, who described how he used to bring his children
there to picnic in the beautiful lush parkland. What a telling
remark says General Rose. What kind of a liberation
is that! Blair just walked away into the sunset and got away with
it. Someone really ought to be in Belmarsh for it.
Whatever one thinks about the need for regime change in Iraq,
and the aftermath of the invasion, there is no doubt that major
errors were made in the manner of the execution of both. In his
book, General Sir Michael Rose gives a detailed account of the
lessons that should have been learned by one war. One can only
hope that the lessons learnt in the current war are clear for
all to see.
Washingtons War:
from independence to Iraq is published by Weidenfeld & Nicolson
ISBN 13 978 0 297 84698 7.